Tag: Jakob Marsee

  • Dynasty Baseball: Undervalued Targets for June 2026

    Dynasty Baseball: Undervalued Targets for June 2026


    Intro

    We are over two months now into the 2026 season and us dynasty managers are either starting to boost our roster for a championship run, or starting to plan for the next few years. Here we will look at a few players who should be relatively cheap to acquire via trade or even possibly waivers/free agency depending on the league size. Regardless of the league size, these are players that I think should be owned in most dynasty formats and will provide strong value going forward. For this article, I tried to avoid including rookies and prospects who I will go into more depth later this season in prospect and rookie review articles where we will dive into rookie performances, dynasty outlooks, as well as player comps.

    As a reminder, I often times reference skill grades in these articles which are our own custom player indexes that we have broken down into the below tools on a 20-80 scale.

    Hitters: Hit, Power, Discipline, Speed

    Pitchers: Induced Contact, Contact Prevention, Command/Control, Arsenal

    With that, let’s dive into the June 2026 Dynasty Player Targets.

    Hitters

    Curtis Mead

    Mead (25) is starting to get consistent everyday playing time with the Nationals and starting to finally come through on some of the prospect pedigree. As a Rays prospect, Fangraphs had him as a 55-grade FV player with a 50 future hit tool and a 55 future game power with 60 future raw power.

    During 2023-2025, Mead showed an average hit tool but graded below average in power and discipline while playing 2B/3B. Ultimately, this level of production was not enough and he was eventually traded to the White Sox organization. He must have taken some tips from Miguel Vargas before he left, as this year he has gone on a breakout fueled by more power and improved, but still average discipline.

    This year, as of the time of writing, he has a career low 58.6% zone-swing rate (67.0% is MLB average) and 24.7% chase rate (28.5% is MLB average), indicating not only is he laying off pitches outside the zone better, but also being more selective on the pitches he swings at in the zone. More specifically, he has been able to lower his chase rate on low pitches out of the zone.

    This shows that Mead is honing in his approach and looking for more specific pitches on the middle and inside part of the zone where he does most of his damage. This is also reflected in his career-high 46.7% pull rate, up from his 38.5% career average.

    With these changes, our custom player skill grades (present/future) now grade him:

    These grades look very similar to Miguel Vargas in 2025 with slightly worse discipline, and we see Mead as a strong buy right now in dynasty leagues.

    Cam Smith

    Cam Smith (23) had tons of hype going into the 2025 season as he had a great spring training and earned himself a spot on the opening day roster. The overall results were not great in 2025 with a .298 wOBA, 9 HRs, and 8 SBs in 134 games, and I even suggested that a demotion may be in order for him to work on his approach during his 2025 Rookie Review.

    Smith showed plus bat speed last year and has improved his average bat speed by significantly increasing his fast-swing rate by 25%, averaging 77.0 mph which puts Cam Smith into the upper echelon of bat speed. He has also made some adjustments at the plate by setting up roughly five inches deeper in the box and about two inches farther off the plate allowing him more time to see pitches.

    While these changes have not led to large increases in production with a .296 wOBA on the season there are some under the hood improvements to be excited about. His xwOBA has increased to .337 signaling he will have some positive regression in the second half of the season. His barrel rate is also up from 6.9% to 13.3%, almost doubling year over year, showing that he is starting to translate his raw power into game power.

    Our custom player skill grades built off 2026 data (present/future) now has him at a 40/45 hit, 60/75 power, 50/55 discipline, and 55/60 speed. The present/future grades have him similar to Byron Buxton, who always had plus raw tools but struggled to stay healthy long enough to put together a complete season.

    Cam Smith is a great buy for dynasty managers looking to build for future seasons and has the potential to put together a 30-30 season during peak seasons.

    Jakob Marsee

    Marsee (25) is off to a slow start in 2026 with a .200/.330/.300 slash line after posting a great .292/.363/.478 slash line during his debut season in 2025. While the performance is not where fantasy managers want it to be, he is still showing a great knack for getting on base and stealing bases with 17 SBs through 70 games played.

    Unlike some other speed-first players such as Chandler Simpson, Victor Scott, Jake McCarthy, and Brenton Doyle, Marsee also pairs his top-end speed with above average hit tool and discipline, with both grading out at 55 on the 20-80 scale. While the power has dipped year over year, with the barrel rate falling from 8.1% to 3.5%, I believe Marsee can still have stretches where he can get to average power and put up ~15 HRs during the course of a season.

    Part of the production decrease could be that pitchers are less willing to challenge Marsee. Last year during his rookie season, pitchers were challenging Marsee with 53.8% of pitches in the zone compared to this year at 48.4% which is right there next to league average. The hot rookie year and batting near the bottom of the Marlins order with minimal protection behind him are certainly reasons for him not seeing as many pitches in the zone which limits his opportunities to put a good swing on a pitch.

    Overall, our skill grades still see a strong player who can contribute to all categories with the below present/future skill grades.

    This may just be a slow stretch to start the 2026 season as the league starts adjusting to him. I recently picked up Marsee in my home league (16 teams) off waivers (after trying to trade for him in the offseason) to replace Oneil Cruz who recently went on the IL. I can see Marsee putting up a strong second half this season and restore his fantasy value.

    Evan Carter

    Evan Carter (23) has long been a fantasy favorite, with many managers expecting big things after his breakout 2023 playoff performance, however with injuries limiting his playing time, he hasn’t fully capitalized on his raw ability. The bad news this year, he is slashing just .176/.292/.321. The good news this year, he has already played a career high in games in his short MLB career and is still showing signs of power and speed with 6 HRs and 10 SBs. Over a full 162 game season that paces out to around a 15 HR/25 SB season which is plenty valuable in fantasy leagues.

    Looking into his 2026 struggles, his wOBA against off-speed and breaking balls is .180 and .256, respectively vs a .325 wOBA against fastballs. Looking at the new BaseballSavant swing data, he is swinging over the top of off-speed pitches 25% of the time compared to just 6% in 2025. Pair this with the whiff% by zone and we can see that the lower part of the strike zone is a weak spot for Carter. Pair that with pitchers are attacking below the zone most frequently of any other location and we have some understanding of where pitchers are going to plan to attack Carter.

    One beneficial adjustment for Carter could be moving farther up in the box to help him get the ball at a slightly more elevated point, especially on off-speed and breaking balls as he is currently standing 27.7 inches deep in the box with 27.9 inches as the MLB average. Carter has a strong eye, shown by his 19.3% chase rate this season, and now just needs to make an adjustment to be able to do more with the lower part of the zone.

    At just 23 years old, he still has time to continue to develop and make adjustments. Our skill grades still like Carter, showing a present/future value below:

    Like Marsee, he has the potential to be an all-around contributor, though with less hit tool and slightly more power upside. Evan Carter is a good buy-low and hold player for dynasty managers in deep leagues looking to build for coming seasons.

    Honorable Mentions

    Trent Grisham

    Garrrett Mitchell

    Pitchers

    Logan Henderson

    Henderson (24) is the one exception to my rookie rule for this article, as I feel he has been flying under the radar compared to other Brewers pitching standouts like Jacob Misiorowski and Kyle Harrison, who have been dominating the league.

    Through his first 5 starts in 2026, Henderson is rocking a strong 33.3% K-rate, 6.7% BB-rate, and a strong 2.74 ERA supported by a 2.41 FIP. Known primarily as a FB/CH pitcher, with FanGraphs rating his CH as a 70-grade pitch on the 20-80 scale, Henderson has also increased usage of his FC and introduced a new SL this season with over 15 additional inches of induced horizontal break.

    YearVelocityInduced VBInduced HB
    2025 – Slider83.3 mph-1.8 inches0.5 inches
    2026 – Slider80.7 mph-3.9 inches-16.1 inches

    This new slider gives him a breaking ball with serious movement that he can utilize against RHB while providing significant separation from his fastball and changeup. For a pitcher who has historically relied heavily on his elite CH, this will give hitters another pitch to worry about and keep them from sitting/guessing on his FB/CH.

    He pairs this upgraded arsenal with already solid and still improving command. Last year our skills grade had his command as a 55 and has improved to 60 this year through his limited starts, which aligns well with Fangraphs present/future command grades of 55/60.

    Even without the premium velocity that many fantasy managers look for, he has plus movement/shapes on all four of his pitches and has plus command which puts him in a strong position to slot into the top three of the Brewers rotation along with the Miz and Kyle Harrison for years to come.  I tried warning everyone to pick up Kyle Harrison back in early May, now this is your warning to go grab Logan Henderson.

    Dustin May

    May (28) returned in 2025 after missing two full seasons due to multiple surgeries and displayed reduced FB velocity, averaging 95.5 mph, along with an elevated 9.6% BB-rate. So far this year the FB velocity is back to averaging 97+ mph while also improving his BB-rate to 6.6%. I often hear command is the last thing to come back when recovering from serious arm injuries/surgeries, and this was likely the case with May as well who happened to also be down a few ticks. After his first normal offseason not spent recovering in years, he has shown there is still plenty left in the tank for a once-promising pitcher.

    Our skill grades last year had May’s arsenal graded at a 50, putting him around MLB average, with a just below average 45-command grade. This year those have ticked up to a 60-grade arsenal and 50-grade command, and are backed up by an improved 6.6% BB-Rate, increased fastball velocity, and a deeper arsenal, now throwing 6 pitches with the addition of a more vertical CB that he hasn’t thrown since 2019.

    While never missing bats at a strong rate, May has a lot to build off with a plus arsenal and average command. This season he is showing fairly drastic splits against RHB versus LHB, with his K-BB% almost 10% higher against RHB (22.2%) vs LHB (12.8%). With the deep arsenal, I believe he can continue refining his approach against LHB by reducing FF usage and leaning more heavily on the rest of his arsenal as hitters currently have a .361 xwOBA against his FF this year.

    With the velocity, command, and arsenal all showing improvements early in 2026, now is a great time to buy in on a pitcher who has some of the strongest upside when considering the little cost it will take to acquire him. He has a ton of similarities in his arsenal to one of the top young dynasty arms, Nolan Mclean, and just needs to make a few adjustments against LHB to really take off. May is a strong buy/stash option for dynasty managers looking for pitching in the second half of the year and on.

    Honorable Mention

    Reid Detmers


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  • Rookie Analysis & Tool Grades: November 2025

    Rookie Analysis & Tool Grades: November 2025


    After missing the October update, we are back with the November Rookie Review and continuing our look at the 2025 rookie class. This month is a hitters focused breakdown that highlights tool grades, player comps, and long-term outlooks for bats like Roman Anthony, Jakob Marsee, Colson Montgomery, and other 2025 rookies.

    I will follow up with another review in December to close out the year, so feel free to shout out any rookies I have not covered yet. Links to all previous Rookie Reviews can be found below.

    Now let’s dive in!

    Roman Anthony

    Roman Anthony was the #1 prospect headed into the season by MLB pipeline. He started the season in Triple-A and was called up on June 9th. Anthony played 71 games, slashing .292/.396/.463, before having to be shut down in September for the rest of the season due to an oblique injury.

    In just under half of a season, Anthony had strong underlying metrics with great quality of contact metrics as well as a low chase rate which supports his high BB rates.

    His 94.5 average EV in 2025 ranks him in the top 5 with hitters with more than 100 batted ball events in 2025 along with Oneil Cruz, Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, and Yordan Alvarez. His 60.3% hard-hit rate is also one of the highest of the Statcast era, only behind Aaron Judge (min. 300 PA).

    Dynasty Tool Grades

    Roman Anthony has great player comps on his dynasty tool grades at an early age, drawing comparisons to sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Byron Buxton, among others.

    His combination of plus-plus power and plus discipline gives him a toolset that is proven to work at the MLB level. I would not be surprised to see his Hit tool take another step forward as he continues to adjust to the MLB level.

    Fantasy Outlook

    At his young age he has plenty of time to improve his game and it’s all about staying on the field. He is an All-Star caliber outfielder for the Red Sox who can hit 30+ HR yearly with strong OBPs. Buy-in on Anthony now where you can!

    Jakob Marsee

    Jakob Marsee is one of the more underrated rookie breakouts of the 2025 season. He impressed slashing .292/.363/.478 with 5 HR and 14 SBs in 55 games. This works out to a 15/40 HR/SB pace over 162 games.  From the time Marsee debuted on August 1st through the end of the season, Marsee led all rookies in fWAR at 2.2, ahead of Colson Montgomery (1.9), Daylen Lile (1.8), and Nick Kurtz (1.6).

    Marsee has solid underlying data to back up his production. He posted better than average squared up %, chase %, and whiff % pointing to strong Hit tool. While never known for his power, he did enjoy a power surge in 2025 with 19 HRs across Triple-A and the MLB, the most of his professional career. His max EV of 111.1 and 70.5 mph average bat speed point to average raw power, but that could play up given his strong hit tool if he can start pulling the ball in the air more.

    Dynasty Tool Grades

    Below is a look at our custom dynasty tool grades as well as other players with similar skill profiles. He has an excellent 55-game sample in 2025, though there could be some skill regression with more sample size.

    Overall Marsee showed average to above average tools across the board which very few players are able to showcase making Marsee an important name to know for 2026.

    Fantasy Outlook

    Put Marsee on your watchlist and buy him where you can. His mix of all-around tools make him an exciting fantasy option and is someone I will be targeting in 2026 drafts/auction. Marsee has all-star potential and will be a strong source of runs and stolen bases in 2026 batting at the top of the Marlins improving lineup.

    Colson Montgomery

    Colson Montgomery, a former first round pick by the White Sox in 2021, went on a power surge after his callup. In his first 71 games he hit 21 homeruns with 55 RBIs, slashing .239/.311/.529. He has been a bright spot in the White Sox rebuild that is desperately searching for core parts of its future.

    Montgomery has shown glimpses of his raw power in the minors at Triple-A, posting max EVs of 113.8 and 115.3 in 2024 and 2025. This power though has come with consistent high K-rates in the upper minors with a 28.6% K -rate in Triple-A in 2024 and 33.0% in Triple-A in 2025.

    Dynasty Tool Grades

    Montgomery’s stand out tool is his power. He has hit tool concerns; however, he has strong defense will help him stay in the lineup throughout any prolonged slumps.

    Montgomery has a package showcasing elite bat speed from the left-side. This elite bat speed gives Montgomery strong power potential similar to Austin Riley, Eugenio Suarez, and Riley Greene, though there will be plenty of strikeouts.

    Fantasy Outlook

    Montgomery is just 23 years old, has elite bat speed, and plays solid defense at a premium position which in sum should lead to strong yearly homerun totals. He has batting average risk and could find himself turn into a streaky hitter given the swing and miss, but when things click, he can help carry a team. Montgomery is currently ranked as the #37 shortstop on our dynasty rankings and will find himself climbing up our rankings in our next update.

    Daylen Lile

    Daylen Lile was not on many prospect lists that I saw before the 2025 season, but you would never have known based on his rookie year. In 91 games he slashed .299/.347/.498 with 9 HRs and 8 SBs. He was also able to improve as the year went on and was a huge help to fantasy managers in late 2025.

    From August to the end of the season there weren’t many better hitters than Lile. His 178 wRC+ was in the top 10 hitters in the MLB during that time (Min. 100 PA).  

    While it’s unrealistic to expect this level of production to continue, he has solidified his spot in the Nationals plans for the near future.

    Dynasty Tool Grades

    Lile’s best tool is his hit tool (60), with his whiff (18.9%) and k-rates (16.0%) better than league average. His player tool comps are below and include hitters like Jake Meyers and Evan Carter.

    He currently profiles as a 12-15 homerun hitter with potential who could put up 20 during a peak year. His all-around skills and locked in playing time for the rebuilding nationals give him a high floor to be a fantasy contributor, but the lack of power will cap his upside.

    Fantasy Outlook

    Lile is useful young bat in fantasy leagues with double digit homerun and steal ability. His late season surge is likely to inflate his price going into draft season and could even be a sell high in dynasty leagues during the offseason. In redraft leagues be wary of the price as draft season gets closer. If Lile goes early, keep an eye on players like Jake Meyers, Austin Martin, and Evan Carter who may be able to provide similar skill profiles at lower draft prices.

    Kyle Teel

    Teel, part of the Crochet trade, held his own in his 2025 debut slashing .273/.375/.411 with 8 HRs and 3 SBs over a half season sample size (78 games). His success was mostly against RHP and showed drastic splits in his 78 games.

    With Edgar Quero, a switch-hitting catcher on the White Sox roster, he could continue to find himself on the bench against left-handed pitchers.

    Dynasty Tool Grades

    His dynasty tool grade comps relate to other catchers such as Bo Naylor and Joey Bart. There is a mix of above-average power and plus discipline which can help make up for the 45 hit tool. A common trend on this list (Bryan Reynolds the exception) is that these players are platoon roles.

    Fantasy Outlook

    Teel should be a part of the White Sox lineup given his success against RHP as he splits time between catcher and DH (made 1 appearance in LF in 2025). He is currently ranked as our #17 dynasty catcher and can be left off most 12-man rosters with one catcher. In two catcher leagues Teel serves as a solid C2 option, just keep in mind he is likely limited to a strong side platoon role.

    Dillon Dingler

    Dillon Dingler stepped into a regular catching role for Detroit in 2025 and rewarded the Tigers with a Gold Glove and steady two-way production. His defense was his biggest strength and his offense provided enough impact to keep him in the lineup most days.

    What really stood out were his extreme splits, both against LHP and on the road. Dingler crushed lefties with an OPS above .900 but had an OPS below .700 against RHP. His biggest weakness against RHP came on breaking balls where he had a 34.7% whiff rate and a .225 wOBA. He also showed a tendency to swing at RHP sweepers and other breaking balls outside the zone.

    This is only one year of data, so these splits should not be weighed too heavily. He posted strong results away from Comerica Park and had real issues hitting at home. It will be worth watching if that trend continues in 2026.

    Dynasty Tool Grades

    Dingler’s tool grades line up with profiles similar to Josh Jung and James McCann. He does not offer a plus offensive tool, but he brings passable Hit/Power tools for the catcher position. An increase in his Power or Discipline could help elevate his offensive profile.

    Overall, his strong defensive value mixed with his average offensive profile should help him keep the starting role in Detroit for the near future.

    Fantasy Outlook

    Dingler is solidified as the Tigers’ starting catcher which provides fantasy usefulness in two catcher formats. He is currently ranked as our #27 dynasty catcher, showing he can be swapped out for another option if managers looking for a 2026 in-season upgrade.

    Nathan Lukes

    Nathan Lukes is in his age-30 rookie season and made an impact on a Blue Jays team that reached the World Series. He played 135 games and finished around a league-average with a 103 wRC+. Lukes kept both his K-rate and whiff rate under 15%, but outside of that he did not show many standout underlying metrics in 2025.

    His value came from being in the lineup consistently with 438 PAs (385 of those against RHP). He also provided steady run production with 55 runs and 65 RBI. Playing time could be harder to come by in 2026 depending on what direction the Blue Jays choose to go.

    Dynasty Tool Grades

    Lukes is a contact-first hitter with a plus hit tool, graded at 70. That mark is likely a bit inflated since most of his matchups came against right-handed pitching.

    Based on his profile, the closest matches are outfielders Miguel Andujar and Alex Call. Entering his age-31 season, there is not much room for additional growth in either the hit or power tool, although he could continue to refine his approach.

    Fantasy Outlook

    Lukes is already entering his age-31 season and lacks the power and speed needed to be a true fantasy asset. His value is tied directly to everyday playing time. He is best viewed as a bench option in deep formats such as Draft Champions or AL-only leagues, where you hope he holds a similar role to last year.


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