Tag: Royce Lewis

  • Dynasty Buy-Low Targets: June Edition

    Dynasty Buy-Low Targets: June Edition


    It’s time to revisit some intriguing buy-low dynasty candidates as we head into June. Since this list is dynasty-focused, we’re taking a long-term view: some of these players may be better targets for 2026, with 2025 serving as a proving ground, or a recovery year for those currently sidelined.

    This breakdown leans on DoubleScoop’s custom tool grades, which assess both season-to-date performance and dynasty value by factoring in development arcs and aging curves. With that in mind, let’s dive into a fresh set of buy-low hitters and pitchers to target in dynasty leagues.

    Hitters

    Luis Robert Jr.

    Luis Robert Jr. has become somewhat forgotten as part of a Chicago White Sox team that just last year endured the worst seasons in MLB history, a mark that the Rockies might eclipse this year (yikes). Robert is only two seasons removed from a career-best 2023 campaign in which he slashed .264/.315/.542 with 38 home runs and 20 stolen bases in his age-25 season.

    If you looked closely enough back then, you could spot the weaknesses that have since become plagued LRJ. Breaking down his performance by pitch type since 2023, Robert has whiffed on breaking balls at a 38%+ rate annually, with that number climbing to 40% against offspeed offerings. These high whiff rates help explain the rise in his strikeout percentage (K%), which has topped 30% in both the 2024 and 2025 seasons. While a K% over 30% can limit batting average upside, it doesn’t necessarily spell doom. Players like Oneil Cruz, Brent Rooker, Colton Cowser, and Eugenio Suárez have all carried similar K% marks while still posting a 100+ wRC+.

    The good news for Robert is that he’s still hitting the ball hard, boasting a 115.8 mph max exit velocity and a 44.6% hard-hit rate so far this season. He’s also more aggressive on the basepaths, with 21 stolen bases already and is on pace to surpass his career high of 23 set in 2024. Despite recent struggles, Robert still possesses a rare combination of raw power and speed that once made him a top prospect in all of baseball.

    One clear sign of growth in 2025 is his walk rate, which has jumped to 10.1% from a career average of 6.1%. This improvement looks sustainable, thanks to a career-best 31.7% chase rate, well below his career average of 38.8%.

    LRJ currently grades out with the following DoubleScoop dynasty tool grades: 45 Hit, 60 Power, 60 Discipline, and 75 Speed. The mix of plus power and discipline, paired with top-end speed, makes him an electric raw talent. I see LRJ as an “Oneil Cruz Lite”, not quite the same raw power, but a similar skill set.

    A change of scenery could eventually help unlock more from his tools, but for now, he remains with the White Sox at a team-friendly price, with club options in 2026 and 2027. I view Robert as a strong buy-low candidate: a player with plus power, plate discipline, and speed who, at just 27 years old, still has time to make key adjustments and return to All-Star form.

    Royce Lewis

    Royce Lewis recently re-aggravated his left hamstring, the same injury that sidelined him earlier this season. Unfortunately, this continues a trend for Lewis, who has been plagued by injuries throughout his MLB career, maxing out at just 82 games played in 2024. The talent has always been evident for Lewis, the first overall pick by the Twins in the 2017 draft. Now 26 years old and already having undergone two ACL reconstruction surgeries, he’s fighting to stay healthy and contribute meaningfully at the big-league level.

    When healthy, Lewis has been a strong contributor, slashing .258/.320/.468 with a 119 wRC+. According to Baseball-Reference, his 162-game career averages are 31 home runs, 101 RBI, and 81 runs, All-Star level production if he can ever sustain a full season.

    He has appeared primarily at third base throughout his career (124 games) with an additional 43 appearances as a DH. Coming off yet another hamstring injury, it is worth considering whether he might be better suited for more time at DH moving forward. While most of his injuries have occurred while baserunning, staying off his feet between at-bats and focusing on recovery could help him stay on the field longer

    There is no clear timeline for his return in 2025, but in dynasty leagues, now might be the time to buy low. Fantasy managers fatigued by his constant injuries may be ready to move on, creating opportunity for those willing to take the risk. Even if he transitions to a primary DH role in the future, he will retain 3B eligibility for 2026 and could log enough appearances there to maintain it in future seasons. Lewis’ combination of a plus hit tool (60) and power (60) makes him one of the most tooled-up hitters in baseball when healthy.

    Brenton Doyle

    Doyle finds himself on a Rockies team that’s on pace to post the worst season in MLB history. Unfortunately, he has not done much to change the momentum, currently sporting a 41 wRC+ and a -0.7 fWAR.

    That said, Doyle has earned his reputation with standout defense, winning Gold Glove awards in each of his first two seasons. In 2024, he showed he could be more than a glove-first player, slashing .260/.317/.446 with 23 homers and 30 steals. But so far in 2025, that production has regressed as he is slashing just .191/.251/.393 with 5 home runs and 7 stolen bases.

    One factor worth flagging is Doyle’s .238 BABIP, which sits well below his career average of .292. Given that his batted-ball profile (GB%, LD%, FB%) remains largely unchanged, this dip suggests he may be experiencing some bad luck and is due for positive regression. His strikeout and walk rates are nearly identical to last season’s marks as well.

    There are encouraging signs under the hood: Doyle has maintained a strong barrel rate at 11.9% in 2025 and raised his hard-hit rate to 45.8% (up from 40.9% in 2024). According to our DoubleScoop tool grades, he’s shown year-over-year improvement in his hit and power tools, though his discipline and speed have taken minor steps back.

    At 27, Doyle is in his athletic prime and not yet facing age-related decline. He has the tools to rebound to his 2024 production levels and remains a viable candidate for consistent 20-20 output, thanks to his elite defense securing regular playing time. Consider buying the dip in dynasty leagues as Doyle and the Rockies quite literally have nowhere to go but up.

    Pitchers

    Ben Brown

    Ben Brown, a 33rd-round pick by the Phillies back in 2017, is now in his second MLB season at age 25 after spending six years developing in the minors (excluding the canceled 2020 season). Even more impressively, he’s managed to carve out a rotation spot on one of the top three teams in the National League.

    Brown operates with a three-pitch mix: four-seam fastball (58%), knuckle curve (38%), and changeup (4%), with the changeup being a weapon he deploys almost exclusively against left-handed hitters. While starters typically benefit from a deeper arsenal, Brown’s knuckle curve is a true standout, generating a 44% whiff rate on the season

    The Cubs’ current rotation includes Boyd, Rea, Brown, Taillon, and Horton, with Shota Imanaga rehabbing in the minors. This setup carries some risk that Brown could be shifted back to the bullpen, a role he’s filled before in both 2024 and 2025. That said, I believe he will continue to get opportunities to start in the long run, whether with the Cubs or elsewhere.

    There is a bit of Framber Valdez in Brown’s profile, especially his heavy curveball usage and ability to get elite whiff rates off that pitch alone. For further development, though, Brown will likely need to add a fourth pitch he can use effectively against right-handed batters. Currently, he leans on his four-seamer and curve, but righties are hitting .318 against his fastball with a meager 10.3% whiff rate. A sinker or sweeper could help him keep RHB off balance over longer outings.

    If you’re looking ahead to 2026 and aiming to build some cheap, upside pitching depth, Ben Brown is a name to target. He is likely still flying under the radar in many dynasty leagues and can be acquired at a discount making him a savvy stash candidate with breakout potential.

    Michael McGreevy

    McGreevy, currently ranked as the Cardinals’ No. 10 prospect by MLB Pipeline, was just called up for a spot start against the White Sox and didn’t disappoint. He tossed 5 innings, allowing 3 hits, 1 walk, and 1 earned run while striking out 5. Through his first three starts in 2025, McGreevy owns a 2.70 ERA, a strong 0.84 WHIP, and a 20.0% K-BB%.

    Baseball Savant lists his pitch usage as follows: four-seam fastball (25%), sinker (23%), sweeper (17%), cutter (14%), slider (10%), changeup (5%), and curveball (5%). The sweeper and slider feature similar shape and velocity, so it’s possible there’s some pitch classification overlap but will need to keep an eye on his slider/sweeper usage. Regardless, this is more of a deep mix than a dominating one. McGreevy generates a league-average 24.4% whiff rate, supported by a 93 overall Stuff+, with his sinker and slider both grading out as his best pitches at 100.

    Getting ahead of hitters and commanding the zone have been his biggest strengths. He sports a 66% first-pitch strike rate and a great 3.1% walk rate. Though his strikeout rate is average (23.1%), he limits walks and hard contact, thanks in part to his excellent 125 Location+. His ability to sequence effectively and throw strikes across seven pitches has helped him succeed without elite stuff.

    The Cardinals’ rotation is currently full, with Sonny Gray, Andre Pallante, Miles Mikolas, Matthew Liberatore, and Eric Fedde all locked into spots, so McGreevy may continue in a swingman or spot-start role in the short term. But turning 25 this season and already built up to 150 innings in 2023 and 2024, he’s fully stretched out for a starter’s workload. He should be the next man up if an opening arises in 2025 and will be in the mix for a rotation spot in 2026, when Mikolas and Fedde hit free agency.

    If hunting for comps, McGreevy’s floor could be that of Michael Soroka, with a ceiling closer to George Kirby.

    The likely outcome probably falls somewhere between the two as a high-floor, command-first righty who can eat innings and anchor the middle/back of a rotation. He is a name to keep on your watchlist or stash now in deeper formats.

    Robert Gasser

    Gasser, 26, is currently rehabbing from Tommy John surgery, which he underwent in 2024. His goal is to return to action before the end of the 2025 season. Before the injury, Gasser impressed during his first five big-league starts for the Brewers, posting a 2.57 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and an eye-popping 0.9% walk rate. While his K% and BB% were somewhat out of line with his minor league numbers, the early returns showed a pitcher unafraid to challenge hitters despite generating just a 14% strikeout rate.

    In 2024, Gasser had a five-pitch mix: sweeper (32%), sinker (26%), four-seamer (18%), changeup (14%), and cutter (9%). Though his velocity is around league average for a lefty, having three distinct fastballs allows him to keep hitters off balance and generate weak contact. His sweeper is his definitive out pitch, generating a 34.5% whiff rate.

    Gasser’s early success hinged on his ability to induce weak contact and his elite command. His 2024 DoubleScoop dynasty tool grades back that up with an 80 induced contact, 45 contact prevention, 80 command, and 55 arsenal. The grades placing him alongside names like Garrett Crochet, Blake Snell, and Tarik Skubal in overall skill grade profiles.

    While the sample size was small, it was an encouraging glimpse into the upside Gasser offers. Originally a second-round pick by the Padres in 2021, he was part of the trade that sent Josh Hader to San Diego and plans to be a part of the Brewers future.

    Long term, I believe in Gasser’s ability to limit hard contact at an elite level, which should help him succeed as a starting pitcher even without high strikeout totals. I expect his K% and BB% to normalize closer to his minor league trends, meaning both rates may tick upward, as that 0.9% BB% likely is not sustainable. One thing to watch as he returns is whether he develops a more effective weapon against right-handed hitters. That could come through refining his current changeup by taking off more velocity and increasing vertical drop or by adding a new pitch entirely. Something with more vertical movement, like a curveball or gyro-slider, would help him create better separation from his current predominantly horizontal profile.

    Command is often the last thing to return after Tommy John, so it will be important to monitor his control during rehab appearances. Gasser profiles similarly to Ranger Suárez, another starter who excels at inducing weak contact despite modest K numbers.

    He is worth stashing in dynasty leagues if you have IL spots or stash spots on the bench. Chances are, Gasser is sitting on a lot of waiver wires right now, and with a smooth return, he has legitimate top-50 SP upside.


    Reach out on X @2BScoopBaseball or @DoubleScoopBaseball on IG with any comments, feedback or questions!